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They were all invited to Riyadh and forced to disband under direct threat of Saudi Arabia.
It's like the red wedding except being forced to read out their own surrender.
If you see their faces they are all sad. They were forced to either step down or face the bone saw. It's a classic MBS and Saudi move. They did it with previous Saudi Crown Prince Muhamed bin Nayef, with Lebanese PM Hariri, and with Saudi businessmen in Ritz Carlton and even with Khashoggi but he said no and was dissolved in acid.
It's utterly perplexing why they agreed to go in the first place. There's a reason why negotiations between warring parties tend to happen in neutral third countries. It's especially pertinent when dealing with fucking Saudi Arabia.
It's split now. Those who went to Riyadh are held hostage and forced to announce the dissolution, basically like a Game of Thrones red wedding scenario where they're forced to dissolve instead of being killed. Their leader fled and refused to go to Riyadh as he foresaw this.
The cause is pretty much still alive. It's up to see if Southerners will continue their cause to ask for independence or just fold and be absorbed into a Saudi controlled puppet against the next fight with the Houthis.
South Yemen seems to have collapsed completely. There's definitely room for limited scepticism over whether or not the anti-Houthi forces are now completely united behind the Saudi-backed government - much of Aden was captured by the previously pro-STC (but anti-independence) Southern Giants Brigade, and the Riyadh delegates have seemingly been abducted - but considering the utter lack of resistance that seems to have been presented in Aden or Hadrhamout, and the reports that its former chairman, Aidarus al-Zoubaidi, has now fled to Somaliland, it seems pretty difficult to dispute the claim that it has been disbanded. Very significant to see such movement in Yemen, and especially so soon after the STC declared independence for South Yemen. I struggle to support any faction in the region, not least with how awful Saudi Arabia is, but with the UAE's backing of what is shaping up to be a Second Darfuri Genocide via its proxy in the RSF and how awful the Houthis are (alongside the current instability in Iran), the anti-Houthi forces at least coalescing around something is probably for the best.
I am sorry, I know it's not on you, but I find funny how when the offensive seemed to be successful people were "This is bad news for the Houthis" and now it has collapsed completely people are going "This is bad news for the Houthis".
Houthis are eating khat and preparing to fight the winner. They're laying low because Iran is weakened right now, but when your enemies are fighting you let them fight and then fight the winner.
Either way the situation was good for them. A coalition weakened with UAE withdrawal, southerner faction collapsed, and the only remaining adversary is a Saudi appointed Yemeni president literally ruling Yemen from a hotel room in Riyadh. Even if you're a Yemeni who hates Houthis, having a puppet president is not popular in Yemen and would drive more people to the Houthis as the only defiant Yemeni faction.
The truth is the civil war is stalemated. The houthis have basically all the land the yazidi Shia live in (unfortunately there's quite a few sunnis stuck there also). They occupy a giant plateau so any dislodging of the houthis requires fighting uphill.
I think that’s because people were assuming the STC would make independence stick. Really, what’s bad for the Houthis is unified opposition. They’ve benefited from conflict between the government and the STC because it divides the anti-Houthis forces’ attention and consumes their energies against each other. Consolidation under the STC would have been much less bad than under the government though.
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They were all invited to Riyadh and forced to disband under direct threat of Saudi Arabia.
It's like the red wedding except being forced to read out their own surrender.
If you see their faces they are all sad. They were forced to either step down or face the bone saw. It's a classic MBS and Saudi move. They did it with previous Saudi Crown Prince Muhamed bin Nayef, with Lebanese PM Hariri, and with Saudi businessmen in Ritz Carlton and even with Khashoggi but he said no and was dissolved in acid.
It's utterly perplexing why they agreed to go in the first place. There's a reason why negotiations between warring parties tend to happen in neutral third countries. It's especially pertinent when dealing with fucking Saudi Arabia.
Saudi threatened to bomb Aden. They went unwillingly, but Aden is exposed city not like Sana'a which is in the mountains.
The STC went from a surprise offensive allowing them to control all of South Yemen to disband itself in the span of a month.
An Assad-level fumble over there.
It's split now. Those who went to Riyadh are held hostage and forced to announce the dissolution, basically like a Game of Thrones red wedding scenario where they're forced to dissolve instead of being killed. Their leader fled and refused to go to Riyadh as he foresaw this.
The cause is pretty much still alive. It's up to see if Southerners will continue their cause to ask for independence or just fold and be absorbed into a Saudi controlled puppet against the next fight with the Houthis.
Seems like they got too greedy and over extended. They conquered so much they spread themselves too thin to actually hold their recent conquests.
South Yemen seems to have collapsed completely. There's definitely room for limited scepticism over whether or not the anti-Houthi forces are now completely united behind the Saudi-backed government - much of Aden was captured by the previously pro-STC (but anti-independence) Southern Giants Brigade, and the Riyadh delegates have seemingly been abducted - but considering the utter lack of resistance that seems to have been presented in Aden or Hadrhamout, and the reports that its former chairman, Aidarus al-Zoubaidi, has now fled to Somaliland, it seems pretty difficult to dispute the claim that it has been disbanded. Very significant to see such movement in Yemen, and especially so soon after the STC declared independence for South Yemen. I struggle to support any faction in the region, not least with how awful Saudi Arabia is, but with the UAE's backing of what is shaping up to be a Second Darfuri Genocide via its proxy in the RSF and how awful the Houthis are (alongside the current instability in Iran), the anti-Houthi forces at least coalescing around something is probably for the best.
I am sorry, I know it's not on you, but I find funny how when the offensive seemed to be successful people were "This is bad news for the Houthis" and now it has collapsed completely people are going "This is bad news for the Houthis".
Houthis are eating khat and preparing to fight the winner. They're laying low because Iran is weakened right now, but when your enemies are fighting you let them fight and then fight the winner.
Either way the situation was good for them. A coalition weakened with UAE withdrawal, southerner faction collapsed, and the only remaining adversary is a Saudi appointed Yemeni president literally ruling Yemen from a hotel room in Riyadh. Even if you're a Yemeni who hates Houthis, having a puppet president is not popular in Yemen and would drive more people to the Houthis as the only defiant Yemeni faction.
The truth is the civil war is stalemated. The houthis have basically all the land the yazidi Shia live in (unfortunately there's quite a few sunnis stuck there also). They occupy a giant plateau so any dislodging of the houthis requires fighting uphill.
I think that’s because people were assuming the STC would make independence stick. Really, what’s bad for the Houthis is unified opposition. They’ve benefited from conflict between the government and the STC because it divides the anti-Houthis forces’ attention and consumes their energies against each other. Consolidation under the STC would have been much less bad than under the government though.
Born 2026
Died 2026
Goodbye South Yemen
That was a strange what, like few weeks, a month?
So which lasted longer, this or CHAZ?