Avatar 3: Fire & Ash
Avatar 3 grossed ¥77.3M/$11.04M on Saturday. Stays ahead of Avatar 2 which grossed ¥74.8M/$10.71M on its 2nd Saturday but will likely slip behind daily gross wise tomorrow as A2's 2nd Sunday was slightly boosted by Christmass.
2nd weekend projections narrow to a pretty clear $25M(-56%). Slightly below A2's $25.9M 2nd weekend largely to the expected Sunday difference between them.
Here's its gross chart vs Avatar 2:
Avatar 3 continues to slightly edge out Avatar 2 but could start to fall behind on Monday.
https://i.imgur.com/d9tXt9z.png
and the Admissions comparison:
Admissions wise Avatar 3's cheaper tickets continue to cause the admissions lead to extend. Now at 2.3M
https://i.imgur.com/ffP2eFZ.png
Daily Box Office (December 25th 2025)
The market hits ¥162.4M/$23.18M which is up +146% from yesterday and down -42% from last week.
Province map of the day:
Avatar 3 company from Zootopia 2 on Saturday.
In Metropolitan cities:
Avatar 3: Fire & Ash wins Guangzhou, Shanghai, Beijing, Chengdu, Wuhan, Shenzhen, Hangzhou, Chongqing, Nanjing and Suzhou
City tiers:
The Fire Raven previews chart 3rd in T1-T4. Zootopia 2 actually manages to edge out Avatar in T4.
Tier 1: Avatar 3: Fire & Ash>Zootopia 2>The Fire Raven
Tier 2: Avatar 3: Fire & Ash>Zootopia 2>The Fire Raven
Tier 3: Avatar 3: Fire & Ash>Zootopia 2>The Fire Raven
Tier 4: Zootopia 2>Avatar 3: Fire & Ash>The Fire Raven
| # | Movie | Gross | %YD | %LW | Screenings | Admisions(Today) | Total Gross | Projected Total Gross |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avatar 3: Fire & Ash(Release) | 11.04M | +114% | -53% | 100857 | 1.60M | $92.09M | $141M-$149M |
| 2 | Zootopia 2 | $7.59M | +212% | -44% | 120376 | 1.30M | $555.73M | $585M-$590M |
| 3 | The Fire Raven(Pre-Scr) | $1.49M | 31157 | 0.29M | $1.49M | |||
| 4 | Love is Hard(Release) | $1.04M | 58895 | 0.19M | $3.35M | $6M-$8M | ||
| 5 | Escape From The Outlands(Pre-Scr) | $0.70M | +56% | 24580 | 0.13M | $2.11M | ||
| 6 | Gezhi Town | $0.43M | -4% | -68% | 15917 | 0.10M | $52.65M | $54M-$56M |
| 3 | Enough is Enough(Release) | $0.24M | 35304 | 0.04M | $0.24M | $0.5M-$0.8M | ||
| 7 | Wicked: For Good | $0.14M | +75% | 4180 | 0.01M | $0.43M | $0.7M-$1.1M | |
| 8 | Robot Dreams(Re-Release) | $0.08M | +12% | 1319 | 0.01M | $0.29M | $0.4M |
Pre-Sales map for tomorrow
https://i.imgur.com/7XCdfBG.png
Avatar 3 dominates pre-sales for Saturday.
IMAX Screenings distribution
Avatar 3 dominates IMAX screenings for today and will contine to dominate tomorrow.
| Movie | IMAX Screeninsgs Today | IMAX Screeninsgs Tomorrow | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avatar 3: Fire & Ash | 3288 | 3223 | -59 |
| 2 | Zootopia | 124 | 126 | +2 |
Avatar 3
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $63.37M , IMAX: $21.55M , Rest: $7.06M
WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.4, Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 7.6
Scores continue to hold. There's been zero fluctuation for the scores since release which is definitely a good sign.
| # | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | WED | THU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Week | $17.23M | $23.70M | $16.63M | $5.26M | $4.33M | $4.43M | $4.30M | $75.88M |
| Second Week | $5.17M | $11.04M | $92.09M | |||||
| %± LW | -63% | -53% | / | / | / | / | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Avatar 3 for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 101088 | $3.09M | $10.20M-$13.05M |
| Sunday | 100533 | $2.32M | $8.74M-$8.82M |
| Monday | 62081 | $117k | $2.85M-$3.35M |
Zootopia 2
Zootopia 2 posts a fantastic $7.59M Saturday. Not quite the optimistic Taopiaopiao projections but still very strong.
Weekend projections settle at $15-16M.
Here's its gross chart vs Endgame:
Zootopia 2 has now crossed ¥3.9B/$555M. Now just ¥100M/$14M away from the coveted ¥4B/$570M which will see it become only the 12th movie ever to cross it in China.
As a note as of yesterday Endgame has finished its run which means Zootopia 2's gains forward will unanswered 1:1 of its daily gross. The gap now standing at ¥323M down from ¥448M after last Saturday and ¥660M the week before.
By January 4th the gap should be closed down to below ¥200M and hopefully a decent ammount lower if Zootopia overperforms next weekend as well. That will then leave January and the first 3 weeks of February for it to try and claw the rest of the way towards ¥4.25B
https://i.imgur.com/93uGYJf.png
and the Admissions comparison:
https://i.imgur.com/e04Tp4L.png
Zootopia 2 has now surpassed 99M admissions sold in China. All eyes on tomorrow where if Zootopia 2 hits its projections it should see it just about scrape past 100M admissions sold.
It will be the first Holywood movie since Titanic to sell 100M admissions in a single market.
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $500.25M , IMAX: $32.01M , Rest: $10.75M
WoM figures:
Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.7 , Douban: 8.4
| # | WED | THU | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fourth Week | $2.32M | $2.05M | $4.06M | $13.62M | $9.58M | $1.75M | $1.45M | $542.41M |
| Fifth Week | $1.61M | $1.69M | $2.43M | $7.59M | $555.73M | |||
| %± LW | -30% | -18% | -40% | -44% | / | / | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Zootopia 2 for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 118838 | $1.30M | $7.74M-$8.30M |
| Sunday | 124874 | $992k | $5.53M-$5.62M |
| Monday | 64460 | $37k | $0.99M-$1.00M |
Other stuff:
The next Holywood release is SpongeBob Movie: Search for SquarePants on January 1st followed by Return to Silent Hill on the 23rd.
New Years Eve Lineup
Another ehhh day for the bunch of movies. Fire Raven actually had decent previews today but its not exactly lit its December 31st pre-sales under any fire.
Back to the Past continues to lead but is also not exactly exploding.
Escape From The Outland meanwhile is seriously in trouble. The previews happening for a few days have not been doing that hot and the previews rating has come in at just 9.4 which is not ideal at all. The pre-sales pace for the 31st continues to be a dissaster as well.
For Holywood though Zootopia 2 coming in hot. Its screenings count is actually not only gaining but seems like its set to surpass all other movies releasing on the 31st.
Avatar 3 trails but its screening count increases have also been outpacing the local movies.
A word on the PLF split as well. Back to the Past and Measure in Love are getting no PLF's at all. The Fire Raven is getting some Cinity and CGS screenings but no IMAX.
Escape From The Outland is getting some Cinity, CGS and for now a very very limited 8 IMAX screenings. Massive L to be honest as this movies was apparently fully shot for IMAX.
Even Zootopia 2 currently has more IMAX screenings schedule for the 31st than it at 30.
Avatar 3 meanwhile set to continue to dominate IMAX screenings even through the Holidays with over 1000 screenings already schedule. A huge win for it.
| Days till release | The Fire Raven | Back to the Past | Measure in Love | Escape From The Outland | Avatar 3 | Zootopia 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | $115k/15044 | / | $31k/4844 | $19k/14201 | $6k/939 | $4k/974 |
| 7 | $172k/16678 | / | $60k/6159 | $24k/15077 | $11k/1518 | $6k/1644 |
| 6 | $220k/17914 | $70k/17914 | $92k/7472 | $30k/15946 | $25k/3094 | $14k/4172 |
| 5 | $277k/19478 | $250k/14467 | $130k/8960 | $36k/17081 | $62k/5841 | $31k/8257 |
| 4 | $350k/21076 | $449k/18531 | $181k/10219 | $45k/18730 | $110k/9378 | $72k/13285 |
| 3 | $454k/22865 | $645k/22065 | $282k/11566 | $59k/20416 | $185k/14348 | $128k/21118 |
| 2 | ||||||
| 1 | ||||||
| 0 |
*Gross/Screenings
Release Schedule:
A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.
Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.
Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.
December
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Step Into The Past | 203k | +5k | 419k | +2k | 63/37 | Action/Fantasy | 31.12 | $24-36M |
| The Fire Raven | 156k | +4k | 48k | +1k | 37/63 | Suspense/Crime | 31.12 | $51-80M |
| Escape From The Outland | 37k | +2k | 39k | +1k | 53/47 | Drama/Action/War | 31.12 | $45-86M |
January
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The SpongeBob Movie: Search for SquarePants | 79k | +2k | 21k | +1k | 32/68 | Animation/Comedy | 01.01 | $5-11M |
| Take Off | 28k | +1k | 3k | +1k | 30/70 | Drama/Comedy | 17.01 | $2-5M |
| Busted Water Pipes | 13k | +1k | 38k | +1k | 44/56 | Crime/Comedy | 23.01 | $8-13M |
Preliminary Spring Festival 2026 Lineup:
With the Spring Festival now less than 2 months away its time we start looking at what might the Holiday season have in store for us. Given the rather late start next year(3 weeks after 2025) none of the movies besides the Boonie Bears movie which is a given have even been confirmed let alone started marketing.
However there are some educated guesses that can be made.
Pegasus 3 is not one of them anymore as of today as its been officialy confirmed to be part of the lineup. Pegasus 2 made $400M+ in the Spring Festival 2 years ago its only natural this movie will target the same Holidays and not settle for a lesser date.
Zhang Yimou is rumored to return to the Holiday season after his successfull Article 20($340M) in 2024 and Full River Red($670M+) in 2023 with Silent Awakening
Unfortunately it seems Jia Lings new movie will not be finished in time for the trio of 2024's top grossing directors to reunite.
Those 2 movies above i think have the most potential for a big gross. Besides them we then have the new Boonie Bears animated movie. Comes out every year for the Holidays and has over a decade. These movies are cheap but well made and have consistenly been making $100M if not $200M+ for the last few years. With no Ne Zha 2 this time around it should do better than last years $118M gross.
Blades of the Guardians starring Wu Jing is likely the wildcard of the year. Its hard to know what a martial arts movie like this can do.
Battle of Penghu meanwhile i think is just flat out not gonna do well. I don't think its the right movie for a Holiday period like this nor do i think in general it really has big potential. Wouldn't be surprised if the only thing big about it will be its budget.
Panda Plan 2 meanwhile seems lie cannon fodder for me. The first one barelly did over $40M in the 2024 National Day Holidays.
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pegasus 3 | 61k | +23k | 33k | +16k | 44/56 | Drama/Comedy/Sports | 17.02 | |
| Panda Plan 2 | 192k | +1k | 43k | +1k | 33/67 | Comedy/Action | 17.02 | |
| Silent Awakening | 17k | +1k | 263 | +2k | 23/77 | Drama | 17.02 | |
| Blades of the Guardians | 31k | +1k | 224k | +1k | 40/60 | Action/Martial Arts | 17.02 | |
| Battle Of Penghu | 14k | +1k | 28k | +1k | 48/52 | War/Action/History | 17.02 | |
| Boonie Bears 2026 | 8k | +1k | 3k | +1k | 46/54 | Animation/Fantasy | 17.02 |
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First movie since Titanic 😭 omg. Zootopia 2 is a phenomenon
It has sold more admissions than The Force Awakens did in the US and Canada combined.
Wild stuff.
Judy Hopps > Rey Skywalker
There's this clip circulating on twitter of the ending of TROS, Rey says her name is Rey Skywalker. One dude is screaming "don't say itttt" One girl screams "NOOOOOOO", another groans and then someones says "I FUCKING HATE STAR WARS" and boom, the classic music starts and "Directed by J J Abrams".
How this is real. Crazy
China has almost 4x the number of ppl in the US and Canada combined.
BunniesHumans are good at multiplying after all.Sure and it has way more theaters as well and all.
But in reality. Its movie industry and market is still smaller than the North American market.
You still actually need to mobilize the people to come see a movie. And thats often not that easy in China. Especialy outside of Holiday periods and especialy these days.
All other 6 100M+ admissions movies in China did it with the help of the Summer, Spring Festival or National Day holidays.
Zootopia 2 is looking to surpass 100M admissions with the help of no holidays what so ever. Its been 1 bog standard month in a pretty dead period for the BO with children at school and people at work for the whole duration.
Oh don't get me wrong it is incredibly impressive haha regardless of population size (I am a fan anyways) - just thinking there is at least the same potential for very popular films in the Chinese market compared to NA
Interestingly in my smaller Asian market it is looking to emulate close to 0.8x population count in terms of gross which is really strong for an animated movie
I mobilize my group chat to go watch Zootopia 😂😂😂😂
I saw that they're promoting Zootopia 2 with Nick and Judy in China for the New Year. This should probably help Zootopia get a possible increase in sales next weekend.
I'm feeling more and more confident about Z2 and even A3 for the December 31st-January 4th 5 day Holiday coridor.
The local releases are massively floundering to the point Zootopia 2 is looking to have more screenings that all of them on the 31st. Although thats still up in the air.
And Avatar 3 is keeping the vast majority of PLF screens including importantly a dominance on IMAX.
Shakira’s Zootopia 2 staying strong in China. Zoo is a big hit in Asia too.
You mean first Hollywood movie since Titanic to sell 100M admissions in a single market, right ?
Woops. Yes i meant Holywood movie.
Avatar legs in China will be a major focus for the sub in a couple weeks.
Nah about to lose a lot of its screens sadly
the power of Nick & Judy.
Zootopia 2 is still doing wonders in China. It'll soon pass $600 million in China and get to Endgame there.
600M+ is definitely happening now, WOW.
It will become only the 2nd Hollywood movie to achieve this.
Zootopia 2 (600M-640M) will nearly triple the total gross of Zootopia 1 (236M) in China!
600m is definitely locked for Z2, Is 700 possible? Since it's extended till 25th January (hopefully more)
700M not possible. Let's save this energy for Z3
No. Zootopia 3 if they kiss MAYBE.
If they kiss it's 1B you heard it here first
No
Ah yes! The top three movies in China in one image. Avatar 3, Zootopia 2, and what I can only assume from the poster is a Chinese cannibal version of The Purge.
Slayvatar