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Franchises like Avatar and Saw are doing exceptionally well. They take their time to release sequels.
Other franchises and IPs being done right reflected in box office results:
- Top Gun
- John Wick (not including the Ballerina spin-off)
- Dune
Saturated franchises (quantity over quality) are running out of steam and being milked to starvation and death are though:
- Disney is having more misses than hits with the MCU
- WB failed miserably with the DCEU and had more success with stand-alones like The Batman and the first Joker
It's not even a hot take or something that clever etc. You can just look at the premiere slate of 2026 and even total amateur will tell you that these are all gonna be hits. Even if they won't make as much as some people predict they still will beat box office of the 2020-2025 which isn't that hard when you have so many smash hits in one year. I'm more afraid of 2027 which won't be probably even half as packed with hits and then analyst will again become depressed.
Extremely funny to mention Iron Lung and not stuff like The Odyssey, Devil Wears Prada 2 and Michael, don't know if it's an intentional bit or not but lol
Has a built-in audience of fans of the Youtuber who is making it. Given it was originally planned for a small release of maybe 100 theatres, I'm guessing that smaller release would have been enough to recoup the costs. There's been enough demand to increase the theatre count to 2,141 at the time of writing with speculation of a full international release if the film proves succesful in January.
Noting that January is usually a dead month for movies and this could potentially benefit from that.
The Odyssey
$250m budget, probably requires around $625m+ to break-even. Out of Nolan's last four films, only two have managed to make more than that; Oppenheimer and Interstellar. It's not a surefire hit and could perform similar to Dunkirk which ended around $550m.
Devil Wears Prada 2
The first movie made $326.7m in 2006, which is profitable, but not the sort of thing that would be considered headline breaking or a notable contribution to the 'biggest'
Michael
Generally unreliable to predict these sorts of films, a lot have been box office bombs based on other artists but has potential.
Okay, but there’s still zero chance Iron Lung even comes close to outgrossing any of those films lol. Its built-in audience may be enthusiastic but it’s relatively small. All the talk of budgets isn’t really relevant to the raw box office total of next year either.
Tenet’s not a fair comparison and Dunkirk didn’t have the right marketing it felt. I think the Odyssey is a lock for $700 mill or more. Leaning heavily towards more as it’s more accessible than Oppenheimer, and that’s especially for foreign numbers this time around.
It's popular enough that theatres thought it was bots because of the amount of demand only to realize it wasn't bots when the ticket sales flooded through resulting in theatres being sold out and the theatres expanding from 100 in a small corner of the US to 2141 theatres over the US and Canada at the time of writing. Markiplier is currently considering an international release also due to the level of interest and ticket sales.
January is generally a dead month and realistically the point of this thread was about it being a good year for the box office, so a self-funded movie made by a Youtuber that ends up being potentially the most financially succesful movie in January is definitely worth a mention.
The only competition it has in January is '28 Years Later: The Bone Temple' directed by the person who worked on 'The Marvels' following on from a film that ended introducing a cult of Jimmy Saville's... where the previous film made $151.3m on a budget of $60m likely meaning it only just made enough to warrant the sequel being released. They are now reliant on the second films viewership in order to actually complete the 'trilogy' stating the third film would only be produced if audiences "go and see the second one"
No idea what that is but I’m ready to go hard in the paint for it based on this post alone. It’s going to make one Iron Lungillion. I can’t stop doing the Iron Lung challenge. The usher is telling me to leave but my Lungs are simply too Iron
I think 2026 and 2027 are gonna be great (in the current landscape), but once Netflix takes over WB, the amount of major theatrical releases will be cut significantly by 2030. I hope the public doesn't get tired of Pixar/WDA sequels because that and Super Mario will be the only billion dollar guarantees in a decade or so
Consider how much Disney alone is going to contribute to the box office; The first Avengers film since the pandemic plus sequels for Spider-man and Toy Story. That’s probably $4-$4.5B for just three movies.
Setting aside any theater window guarantees for WB’s existing slate for the next few years, and the (probably wishful thinking, but you never know) possibility of Netflix maintaining WB as a theatrical vehicle in some form, there’s virtually no chance the merger will be complete by the end of next year, so the box office won’t be affected.
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Don't they always say that?
Yes
My hot take is that it’ll be a good year but not a great one.
Franchise fatigue will set it
Franchise fatigue is not real for most of these films. Every year the highest grossing movies are sequels and franchises.
I have no proof
Just calling my shot
Not all franchises are suffering from fatigue.
Franchises like Avatar and Saw are doing exceptionally well. They take their time to release sequels. Other franchises and IPs being done right reflected in box office results: - Top Gun - John Wick (not including the Ballerina spin-off) - Dune
Saturated franchises (quantity over quality) are running out of steam and being milked to starvation and death are though: - Disney is having more misses than hits with the MCU - WB failed miserably with the DCEU and had more success with stand-alones like The Batman and the first Joker
It's not even a hot take or something that clever etc. You can just look at the premiere slate of 2026 and even total amateur will tell you that these are all gonna be hits. Even if they won't make as much as some people predict they still will beat box office of the 2020-2025 which isn't that hard when you have so many smash hits in one year. I'm more afraid of 2027 which won't be probably even half as packed with hits and then analyst will again become depressed.
There are a lot of high profile movies, so yeah, next year might be huge.
Well you have
Honestly not sure what they pay these people for when it's obviously going to be a better year based off those films above.
I don't quite know if iron lung belongs on this list lol
Extremely funny to mention Iron Lung and not stuff like The Odyssey, Devil Wears Prada 2 and Michael, don't know if it's an intentional bit or not but lol
Has a built-in audience of fans of the Youtuber who is making it. Given it was originally planned for a small release of maybe 100 theatres, I'm guessing that smaller release would have been enough to recoup the costs. There's been enough demand to increase the theatre count to 2,141 at the time of writing with speculation of a full international release if the film proves succesful in January.
Noting that January is usually a dead month for movies and this could potentially benefit from that.
$250m budget, probably requires around $625m+ to break-even. Out of Nolan's last four films, only two have managed to make more than that; Oppenheimer and Interstellar. It's not a surefire hit and could perform similar to Dunkirk which ended around $550m.
The first movie made $326.7m in 2006, which is profitable, but not the sort of thing that would be considered headline breaking or a notable contribution to the 'biggest'
Generally unreliable to predict these sorts of films, a lot have been box office bombs based on other artists but has potential.
Okay, but there’s still zero chance Iron Lung even comes close to outgrossing any of those films lol. Its built-in audience may be enthusiastic but it’s relatively small. All the talk of budgets isn’t really relevant to the raw box office total of next year either.
Tenet’s not a fair comparison and Dunkirk didn’t have the right marketing it felt. I think the Odyssey is a lock for $700 mill or more. Leaning heavily towards more as it’s more accessible than Oppenheimer, and that’s especially for foreign numbers this time around.
wtf is iron lung
I’m an operator and came here to say the same
Markiplier's horror movie
LMAO. This is an apt response
A passion project by a popular Youtuber, potential for it to trigger a surge in Indie films in future.
Oh brother, prepare to be humbled dude
It's popular enough that theatres thought it was bots because of the amount of demand only to realize it wasn't bots when the ticket sales flooded through resulting in theatres being sold out and the theatres expanding from 100 in a small corner of the US to 2141 theatres over the US and Canada at the time of writing. Markiplier is currently considering an international release also due to the level of interest and ticket sales.
January is generally a dead month and realistically the point of this thread was about it being a good year for the box office, so a self-funded movie made by a Youtuber that ends up being potentially the most financially succesful movie in January is definitely worth a mention.
The only competition it has in January is '28 Years Later: The Bone Temple' directed by the person who worked on 'The Marvels' following on from a film that ended introducing a cult of Jimmy Saville's... where the previous film made $151.3m on a budget of $60m likely meaning it only just made enough to warrant the sequel being released. They are now reliant on the second films viewership in order to actually complete the 'trilogy' stating the third film would only be produced if audiences "go and see the second one"
No idea what that is but I’m ready to go hard in the paint for it based on this post alone. It’s going to make one Iron Lungillion. I can’t stop doing the Iron Lung challenge. The usher is telling me to leave but my Lungs are simply too Iron
One movie that's worth seeing out of all that slop
I think 2026 and 2027 are gonna be great (in the current landscape), but once Netflix takes over WB, the amount of major theatrical releases will be cut significantly by 2030. I hope the public doesn't get tired of Pixar/WDA sequels because that and Super Mario will be the only billion dollar guarantees in a decade or so
Abroad Box office is still healthy. Hopefully America catches up
Consider how much Disney alone is going to contribute to the box office; The first Avengers film since the pandemic plus sequels for Spider-man and Toy Story. That’s probably $4-$4.5B for just three movies.
$3 bajillion!!!!
I see the incoming Netflix/WB deal still hasn't killed these people's hopes.
Setting aside any theater window guarantees for WB’s existing slate for the next few years, and the (probably wishful thinking, but you never know) possibility of Netflix maintaining WB as a theatrical vehicle in some form, there’s virtually no chance the merger will be complete by the end of next year, so the box office won’t be affected.
Domestic is still way bigger than China in 2026.
If you think mid budget films are bad in the US, just see how atrocious they are in China
Let me guess the lineup:
Dune 3,4,5 whatever it's on.
Disney remake #15
Avengers NostaliaDay
Bleak Nolan Movie
Halloween 28, Conjuring 12, Scream 10
Superman: Kryptonite, The Batman Again
Avatar Tokyo Drift
The fuck is Comscore?
thay are a company that manage financials stuff of other companies, like the tickets sold, daily grosses, etc.
they are the main company from where the small reporters of box office do the reporting