Big snow storm out of nowhere?

I don't usually post about the weather, but are we really about to get hit out of nowhere? I follow forecasts and saw nothing to hint that over seven inches of snow is on the way. Updraft Blog was updated twice yesterday and only hinted at some light snow mostly in Wisconsin.

1 points mrq69

There were signs Thursday night but they were forecasting freezing rain and light snow. Gradually changed to a huge snow storm.

I think there ended up being a lot more moisture than they thought so that’s gonna feed the system.

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1 points VectorsToFinal

Seeing some murmurs of a potential dry slot now so lots of uncertainty with this one.

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1 points Ekrubm

Where do you go for murmurs like this?

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1 points VectorsToFinal

Bo Knows Weather on X or Blue Sky was the source of that. One of the many MSP meteorologist I follow.

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1 points fisho0o

Never heard of Bo. Of the meteorologists you follow, do you have one you like more than others? To me, 24 hours out from a winter storm, they're all about the same, so it's their delivery style I'm drawn to.

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1 points VectorsToFinal

Hmm I would say Paul Huttner overall. I like his writing style and his on air personality. He was also my gateway to local weather. Sven is a close second.

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1 points fisho0o

I like Paul a lot as well. I also like Jonathan Yuhas a lot.

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1 points smmras

Every time I go to my hometown, the weather tries to trap me.

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1 points roentgen_nos

Reminded me of The Gear Daddies song “Heavy Metal Boys.”

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1 points psylentt

Me too. Except it’s always hurricanes. Been in like every major hurricane in Houston and I don’t live there full time 🫩🤣

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1 points ThexRuminator

Well, I better go get milk and bread.

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1 points SkittlesAreYum

I got some Blanton's for Christmas so I'm all set.

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1 points i__sank__atlantis

yeah my gifted craft beer stockpile will keep me nice n cozy.

p.s. i’ll be over to yours after the storm for some of that pony bourbon!

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1 points crimsonarm

Gotta have your taters ready

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1 points CooperDoten

Exactly! What will you do if you get snowed in without a nice slice bread washed down with an ice cold glass of milk?!

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1 points molybend

It's called breakfast. Milk with cereal and toast with butter.

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1 points lord_borne

Will you also be making milk sandwiches, neighbor?

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1 points stemcellblock4

Yep, my frozen pizza and donut supply are getting low.

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1 points map2photo

You’re from the southeast aren’t you?

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1 points mike-42-1999

What's coming!? When?

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1 points Nerdlinger

6-8 inches of snow. Tomorrow.

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1 points MrP1anet

I’m flying in around 11 so that’s just perfect lol. Hope I don’t get stuck in the air

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1 points VectorsToFinal

What goes up, must come down.

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1 points zoobs

Spinning wheel, got to go ‘round.

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1 points IndigoLead

Ride the painted pony let the spinnin’ wheel spin

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1 points LeaningSaguaro

Username checks out

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1 points VectorsToFinal

🛫🤗🛬

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1 points Its_Bun_James_Bun

I got a good chuckle out of this. Thank you! 😂

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1 points VectorsToFinal

🤪 best compliment I can get.

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1 points TKHawk

With strong winds, so expect blizzard conditions.

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1 points FlamingoMN

What? I'm picking folks up at the airport at 2. Hope their flight is able to land.

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1 points New-Purchase1818

Eh. I think in the city we’re maaaaaybe going to get like 4” max. It seems like all the “massive snowstorm” forecasts have yielded some pretty wimpy actual accumulation. We have a heat island in the city, and a bunch of tall buildings that break up straight line winds.

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1 points rsmtirish

Are you a meteorologist?

So sick of people who know nothing passing opinions on forecasts from actual professionals.

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1 points Chinpokomonnnn

I really like the local NWS office write ups for these events.

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1 points toasted-donut

If you’re into meteorology at all also check out the forecast discussion Definitely more high level terminology, but cool to get a human side to it.

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1 points Chinpokomonnnn

I have a meteorology degree actually! I read those as well :)

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1 points map2photo

I frequent r/meteorology and saw someone mention how much math & physics is required for the degree. Congrats to you on being smart! lol

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1 points number676766

These are my favorite. Sometimes there’s even a little humor and you learn a lot about how they decide the forecast.

One thing is they’ve been running the Euro AI models for a few months and they’ve largely been more accurate for snowfall than the deterministic models and the AI models are a little more conservative on the snowfall amounts.

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1 points Left_Ad7918

HUMAN SIDE?🤣So....they put their "human spin" on the "narrative"? Meteorology went OUT THE WINDOW a LONG TIME AGO when they decided to start modifying/creating the weather by means of geo-engineering ALL OVER THE WORLD🤣 They literally fill a 5 minute space with absolute BS on the evening news🙄Carry on.....

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1 points Initial_Bee_9948

This is so cool. Where do you find this?

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1 points Chinpokomonnnn

It's located here on the upper right

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1 points RobertService

I hunted around and found this. Mpls. is mpx.

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1 points Hot_Pricey

Best and only way to get decent forecasts.

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1 points Rmund72

Kare11 Saturday acknowledged this—they said it was only the most recent runs that hinted at large snowfall amounts

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1 points Zandergriff67

John on the KARE11 morning news has been talking about snow on Sunday since the middle of the week.

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1 points Rmund72

They were talking a small event earlier in the week. Jaimie Kagol said the model runs from the last 12 hours moved it from 1-2” into that 3-8” range for the metro (more northeast, less southwest )

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1 points Zandergriff67

I’m only saying what John has been saying on the morning news. For sure the predicted accumulation amounts has gone up a little, but even earlier this week he was talking about the possibility of 6”+ in some areas of the metro.

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1 points bigdumbhairybabytwat

Love John! He's become my favorite weather person.

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1 points Zandergriff67

Same!

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1 points jevidon

“Out of nowhere”

Sir, it’s winter in Minnesota. You must be new here.

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1 points CityEquivalent7520

Out of nowhere as in not forecasted

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1 points cactipus

Not out of nowhere, the snow amounts have just increased over the last two days.

I had a road trip to the UP planned for tomorrow thru Tues, so I'm doing my part in summoning this thing. Rescheduling the trip for the second time this season!

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1 points McSquiffy

I had planned to drive to Madison tomorrow so it's my fault too.

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1 points cactipus

Doing our part! I was actually going to go to the UP for the snow (xc skiing), but don't really want to get stuck out there. I hope you can reschedule your plans!

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1 points McSquiffy

Thanks! Fortunately I can reschedule. Hopefully we get some snow for you to ski here as well! I love the UP; my stepdad's family has a cabin and we spent a lot of time in the Houghton area as a kid.

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1 points donnadoctor

Tomorrow is the first day this month I get to stay home. Thank you for your service.

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1 points Cbanders

I felt the same way! I read updraft and like to track the weather and nothing until this winter storm watch this morning. Wild!

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1 points EatMorePieDrinkMore

I bought tickets last night to the arboretum’s holiday lights on Sunday. Good times.

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1 points solverman

Agreed it seems like a shorter notification period than usual. Variety of services are indicating a high probability of precipitation & below freezing temperatures in that time frame. The predicted drop in temperature may have been forecasted with greater lead time.

Frankly a coating of snow of any reasonable amount seems like a better outcome than having things glazed over with ice. We'll see what shows up.

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1 points mrq69

The heavy winds with temp drop was predicted for a good while. That’s still happening but with measurable snow now - so now we’ll have whiteout conditions and slippery roads added on.

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1 points number676766

Usually the NWS forecast discussions catch stuff but they also didn’t start talking about it until the 3am post this morning and they had a lot of catching up to do.

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1 points manwithapedi

If you were warned about it…that pretty much means it wasn’t “out of nowhere”.

weather forecasters are telling you it’s coming

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1 points CityEquivalent7520

Usually they tell you a few days in advance that a storm is possible, but even meteorologists are saying their models didn’t really pick up on it until recently

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1 points Zandergriff67

Not sure which sources you use, but my weather app has had it in the forecast for Sunday since Christmas Eve. Both NPR & KARE11 have been talking about it for a few days as well.

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1 points masterchief0213

Weather beyond 48 hours out is always kind of a guess for the Midwest.

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1 points thdudedude

I feel like I look at my weather app and it will say no precipitation for two weeks and then it just starts snowing out of no where, or rain. I assume it’s a Minneapolis thing.

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1 points 127-0-0-1_Chef

I follow NWS for Duluth and the Twin cities so it's not quite a surprise to me.

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1 points DemiseofReality

Really unfortunate timing. I've been watchin the whole week as I'm coming back from holiday vacation and watching run after run has me wondering if my flight will even be allowed to leave my destination back to MSP. The Accuweather hourly shows 40+mph wind gusts in the evening with hours of snow already done. Starting to think about preparing to be stuck here an extra day.

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1 points jmg733mpls

I got a text alert at 3:36am about a winter storm watch. Whut.

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1 points wilsonhammer

Forecasts change

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1 points _CoachMcGuirk

out of nowhere?

babe its December in Minnesota?

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1 points TheMacMan

National Weather Service has always said they can only accurately predict about 24 hours in advance.

Trump slashed NWS funding and fired more than 600 meteorologists, so expect decreased reporting quality.

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1 points Arrowedmisfit

Check out Ryan Hall yall on YouTube! They have great content and very detailed storm tracking and updates if you want to nerd out.

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1 points donnadoctor

Neat! Thanks for the suggestion.

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1 points drizzzzleswag

Max velocity is a good watch if you like weather too.

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1 points brycebgood

I got a NWS warning yesterday, so not sure that's really out of nowhere. My weather app has showed 4" and down to single digits on Sunday for a few days.

Maybe you need more diversity of sources?

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1 points _Belted_Kingfisher

Classic forecast windshield wiper effect. I had 1-3 yesterday so seeing enhanced probabilities for 6+ is quite a change.

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1 points brycebgood

Dunno, Wunderground had 4+ at 8 last night.

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1 points Most-Umpire-54

Welcome to Minnesota during climate change. Also, I can really tell this year that we have fewer weather balloons and less NWS funding. Thanks a lot Elon.

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1 points Chinpokomonnnn

I bought a snowblower a couple weeks ago and figured I ruined winter. Looks like I'll get to try it out!

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1 points LefsaMadMuppet

Nah, if you put gas in it then you ruined winter. it will just be rain to ice. No snow.

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1 points No-Loquat-2763

Hardly out of nowhere.

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1 points _Belted_Kingfisher

It was my fault. Sorry

Krampus Cat is angry and has a new post holiday gig of dumping snow on people for not reading forecasts and buying new shovels?

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1 points Cold_Tower_2215

Yes, it’s late December

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1 points Dancingstella17

I was only just informed that we are gonna get hit with 9-11 inches of snow?! Like what the fuck from where? I just hope it doesn’t start with rain…I don’t need my alley to be a damn ice rink again like early winter 2023.

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1 points KDiggity8

I'm afraid that's exactly what's going to happen 😑

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1 points grslydruid

A could days ago the forecast called for a few inches. It must have been updated as it got closer.

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1 points cinnasota

almost like forecasts change or something

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1 points jh789-2

I live in southern Washington county which takes about 40 minutes to drive top to bottom. I’ve found the forecast by county to be frustrating. I just need my own Doppler lol

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1 points fascintee

Not quite out of nowhere- warm weather often precedes storm systems. Winter or summer

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1 points dontfuckitup1

My wife said she got an alert on her phone, but I can't find any info online saying Hennepin county is getting hit with anything

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1 points _Belted_Kingfisher

Try the NWS point forecast. This one is set for downtown. It can get neighborhood specific by clicking different areas.

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-93.269&lat=44.976

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1 points SuspiciousLeg7994

It's on the NWS site https://www.weather.gov/mpx/

Also news sites had the early predictions on 15 hours ago even early predictions. We will likely get it starting Monday morning.
https://www.fox9.com/weather/minnesota-weather-what-expect-sundays-snow.amp

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1 points mrq69

That Fox9 link is outdated now, they’ve got it closer to the 3-6” range now for the metro for Sunday morning through Sunday night

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1 points SuspiciousLeg7994

Yup. I know that. I wrote when I posted an hour ago that ..... "early predictions on 15 hours ago...".

The point of th Fox News post in Addison to the NWS link was to show that it's been predicted awhile as the person I was replying to said thy didn't see anything for Hennepin county.

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1 points SuspiciousLeg7994

I've been following the ECMWF & GFS and both have been predicting this for several days. Not really coming out of nowhere. Temps will drop tonight an expect it to hit around 10am

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1 points Rogue_AI_Construct

I wouldn’t say it’s “out of nowhere”. Fox 9 meteorologists have been talking about it for a few days now.

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1 points SparrOwSC2

I'll believe it when I see it.

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1 points CrankyChemist

Whenever an alert like this comes up, I am cautiously optimistic like always. I'd love it for the 3-5 slated for tomorrow morning and another 3-5 in the evening hours. It does feel out of nowhere though, I agree with that.

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